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Interest rate cut: South Africa

Private Property South Africa
Seeff |
Interest rate cut: South Africa

Summary
Repo rate: was 7.50%, now 7.25%
What it means: The interest rate at which the South African Reserve Bank lends money to commercial banks. When this rate falls, banks can borrow more cheaply and often pass on those savings by reducing the interest they charge you.

Prime lending rate: was 11.00%, now 10.75%
What it means: The base interest rate banks offer their best customers for loans (like home loans). It usually moves in step with the repo rate, so a cut here typically means lower bond repayments for you.


Welcomed, but the economy needs more, says Samuel Seeff, chairman of the Seeff Property Group, following the interest rate cut of 25 basis points (bps) announced today by the Reserve Bank.

This is the fourth rate cut by the Reserve Bank since the latter half of last year and reduces the repo rate to 7.25% (from 7.50%), and the prime rate to 10.75% (from 11%). Seeff, however, believes the Bank missed a crucial opportunity to provide a more meaningful cut of at least 50bps as a vital boost for the economy, consumers and the property market.

The conditions for a robust rate cut are ideal given the remarkably low inflation which, despite the recent benign increase to 2.8%, is still comfortably below the SARB's 3-6% target range. Additionally, despite global volatility, the strengthened Rand poses no risk of igniting an inflationary spiral, given the subdued demand-side pressures.

Seeff says that at this pivotal juncture, there is nothing more critical right now than economic growth and job creation. Lowering borrowing costs would stimulate business investment and crucially, put more money back into the pockets of consumers, thereby boosting spending.

Even with the latest rate cut, the interest rate is still above pre-Covid levels. Seeff says this continues to erode any benefits from previous rate adjustments and remains an impediment to real economic growth so vitally needed.

The high interest rate has done considerable damage to the economy. Consumers are struggling, and while this rate cut will bring much-needed relief, Seeff says more needs to be done given the dire need for economic growth and jobs.

The property market currently still lags the pre-Covid volumes with the first quarter of this year, disappointingly, some 10% down compared to the same time last year. Further interest rate cuts are needed to drive higher sales volumes which would leverage the property sector's significant economic multiplier effect to further boost economic growth.

Nonetheless, Seeff says this rate cut will be a boost for affordability and enable more first-time buyers to get into the market. The continued positive mortgage lending environment further adds to the good buying conditions. We are also seeing improved price growth in areas where stock levels are depleting which is good news for sellers too.

As a result of the 25bps rate cut, mortgage repayments will reduce by:

Bond Amount Old Repayment New Repayment Savings
R750 000 R7 741 R7 614 R127
R900 000 R9 290 R9 137 R153
R1 000 000 R10 322 R10 152 R170
R1 500 000 R15 483 R15 228 R255
R2 000 000 R20 644 R20 305 R339
R2 500 000 R25 805 R25 381 R424
R3 000 000 R30 966 R30 457 R509
R5 000 000 R51 609 R50 761 R848


(Based on a 20-year repayment period at the prime rate)


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